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- growth down, quotas up
growth down, quotas up
what you should know about 2024 projections (and what it means for you)
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TL;DR
Get our high-level recap of a recent study about private SaaS companies conducted by KeyBanc Capital Markets and Sapphire Ventures.
🔥 Welcome to subscription hell 🔥
Meet the anonymous crypto hero we don’t deserve, but that we need.
Let's talk shop 🔧
grab your scuba gear, folks 🤿
We read this report about SaaS metrics and expectations so you don’t have to
KeyBanc Capital Markets and Sapphire Ventures just released their annual survey report of private SaaS companies.
We pulled out the top takeaways you should know 👇
Overall, the study “identified clear trends of subdued growth expectation and a continued focus on efficient execution and profitability.” In other words: growth is down across the board, but you’ll still be expected to hit your newly-inflated quotas.
What’s going on with growth?
You know how 2022 and 2023 were bad for growth? That’s pretty much staying the same. This year, companies expect growth deceleration of ~2-3%, except for companies with <$10M ARR which expect slight growth acceleration. (Go off, queens!)
What CS needs to know
Gross retention rates are estimated to improve slightly, while net retention is expected to stay consistent with 2022 and 2023 numbers.
What about churn trends? The data shows that longer contract lengths experience reduced churn rates. For example, Month-to-month = 14% while 3+ years = 3%. Aim for those longer contracts if you can swing it!
What Sales needs to know
Companies expect AEs to perform as well (if not better) than the previous year, with high productivity and quota expectations. Mass layoffs and the rise of AI productivity tools compound the pressure.
Median ACVs are increasing YoY, from $54k in 2022 to $62K estimated for 2024.
What everyone needs to know
Boards want to see more efficiency and they’re putting pressure on management to make it happen. This could mean reducing headcount, restructuring, outsourcing roles to lower-cost countries, and (of course) more budget cuts.
Who is most likely to be impacted? The report says that improvements to “human capital efficiency” (I think that means layoffs) seem to happen once companies cross the $10M ARR and $50M ARR thresholds.
🖥️ What else is happening in tech?
Remember CDs? Magazines? Actual paper and ink newspapers? RIP to “buy once, own forever” – we’re in the subscription economy now.
But hey, one silver lining is that the Federal Trade Commission’s proposed “click-to-cancel” rule would make it easier for consumers to cancel subscriptions as soon as they want out.
And, predictably, companies aren’t happy with the proposed rule. Several industry groups (representing behemoths like Comcast, Disney, and Adobe) have banded together to block it, saying the rule would be a big overstep of the FTC’s authority. Who’s surprised? 🥱
Communication as a renaissance
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Let’s dish 🤭
Dear ZachXBT, I think you dropped this 🫴👑
An anonymous crypto-vigilante with the handle ZachXBT just caught a nearly quarter-of-a-billion (yes, billion with a “b”) dollar crypto theft, and he’s just getting started.
Who is ZachXBT?
While his real identity is unknown, ZachXBT is a twentysomething “independent crypto-focused detective” – aka a crypto private eye 🕵️ (Are we just making up titles now?!)
And he does what?
He’s been on the crypto beat since 2021 (probably around the same time you started hearing about crypto from every Tom, Dick, and Harry on Twitter), and since then he’s traced billions in stolen/scammed funds. ZachXBT has even partnered with government agencies to take down the bad guys.
Why is ZachXBT anonymous?
Well, in short, because he wants to avoid retaliation (imagine pissing off someone who thought they were going to get away with stealing millions).
His name, face, and age are a mystery. Online, he uses his avatar. On calls, he goes off-cam with a voice-changer.
ZachXBT proves once again that not all heroes wear capes (although, since he’s anonymous, we can’t confirm or deny if he wears capes).
🫖 What's the tea?
🛰️ Uh, oh! More bad news for Boeing after a satellite in orbit exploded into at least twenty pieces
Would you like E. coli with that? McDonald’s Quarter Pounders have been linked with an E. coli outbreak across 10 states.
American Airlines is testing a new system to keep line jumpers from boarding at the wrong time. Justice will be served! 🧑⚖️